
I'm fairly certain now that the ECU is not at fault, thanks to the loaner ECU from David - for the first few days the car ran nicely with the swapped ECU, however as sure as death and taxes it has now exhibited its typical intermittent poor running and misfiring symptoms with the substitute ECU still fitted.

On Saturday I spent time swapping ECU's back and forth while I was working out the ECU locking and key programming stuff, after having had the battery off and having swapped the ECU's a few times it was back to its mediocre performance symptoms again. I still had the hose to the charcoal canister purge solenoid blanked off so I've put that back to normal and noticed no real change - worse or better, so I think that may have been a red herring all along.
On Sunday we went for a drive, lots of urban stop start 30mph stuff, it started off ok but within minutes went down hill, very little low rpm grunt or pickup, and surging performance in the mid range. Flat as a pancake and felt like it was intermittently missing one maybe two cylinders worth of performance...then towards the end of the drive it intermittently seemed to run a lot better again, so even during one drive it was fluctuating from terrible to ok to terrible again.
On Monday the car wasn't started for the first time until about 2pm in the afternoon on a warm sunny 18 degree day, I started it from outside with the bonnet open so I could listen to how it started, it was clearly misfiring on at least one cylinder, possibly two at idle, with the engine visibly shaking and kicking.
Trying to snap the throttle quickly open only about 20% was causing a massive stumble to the point where it was completely cutting out for a half second before recovering. Any time the throttle was snapped quickly open from idle it was stumbling and cutting out then recovering.

When checking the negative clamp was tight on the battery I found it wasn't as it suddenly turned, so I decided that I couldn't put off replacing them any more. I've fitted the quick fit types that RichardW had recommended as the other ones I had did not fit the wires at all. Getting all four positive wires into the clamp and clamped securely was challenging but it all worked out in the end:



The wires that I stripped back were all nice and clean and shiny - no corrosion at all.
Those of you who have been nagging me to replace the clamps will be happy to see it done, however rather predicatably it has made not one iota of improvement to the symptoms!

I gave up in disgust on Sunday because it was running so poorly, so blatantly misfiring, it had all the hallmarks of an ignition misfire despite every single item in the ignition system (including the ECU now) having been replaced or ruled out, and yet the misfire persists.
Then this morning the car was started at 8am in 9 degree weather and it started and ran perfectly, drove the 10 minutes to the train station with lots of grunt and very little in the way of symptoms except for a little bit of surging in the mid-range which truthfully could be torque converter related... However while the gearbox is certainly not in the greatest condition the symptoms I was seeing yesterday were all in neutral at idle or while trying to rev the engine in neutral, so can't be gearbox related.
It seems almost like the symptoms are temperature related - not coolant temperature, as on a cold morning its still running fine when the coolant is up to temperature, but maybe engine bay ambient temperature as it seems worst when the engine bay is warm on a warm day. If it's sat in the sun all day before being started it starts poorly, while it almost always runs well first thing on a cold morning.
Can anyone think of anything that could possibly cause such bad misfiring and stumbling on a warm day but the very next morning in the cold it runs nearly perfectly ?
I'm pretty much completely out of ideas again - I really would like to get a current clamp probe onto the injectors and ignition coil primaries as I'm suspicious of a injector coil problem such as a short developing when the winding heats up, but I'm not sure that I can justify the cost of buying a current clamp probe.

Something is causing it to intermitently misfire in a major way, but is it spark, fuel, or compression ? I still don't know, as all three have at various times been tested and ruled out, but obviously one of them is intermittent.
